Category Archives: Communications & Technology

Taking a Digital Holiday: Are We Digital Natives or Addicts?

Shattered Smartphone (image by robertnelson, CC, Flickr)

Shattered Smartphone (image by robertnelson, CC, Flickr)Seeing the shattered surface on your smartphone begin to fade (mine started going a dark blue) before finally giving up is usually an event punctuated with profanity.  At first you find yourself wondering how you’re going to keep track of work commitments, or what you’re going to do when commuting on the bus or waiting for a friend who consistently arrives fifteen minutes late.

Of course, the phone is covered for accidental damage and could be replaced very easily – and yet, here we are six weeks later and I still haven’t gone through the process of getting a new one.  That’s partly down to my own capacity for laziness, but it’s also because a new sense of freedom quickly replaced the remorse of losing a synthetic friend.

Interestingly for a futurist, a category who self-identify as technological visionaries (I use the term very loosely), I feel no pressing desire to replace my smartphone.  Instead I carry with me an old reliable object of utility that has been neglected for the past decade, a strangely comforting collection of syllables that point towards easier times: No-ki-a.  The first thing I noticed was how well it actually works as a phone.  Turns out older models used to be really good at being phones, an art form we’ve lost somewhere along the way.

The next thing I noticed was that within days I found myself less stressed, less distracted, and for a short period of time entered a kind of blissful state where I floated through a sea of other people constantly using smartphones.  Free from the hypnotic hold they have over us I felt almost ethereal, suddenly noticing just how prevalent these little black rectangles are in the hands of others.  I swear my posture even improved almost immediately as I no longer had a reason to hunch over at every possible opportunity to check my work email or social media streams.

Okay, maybe that last one is an exaggeration – but the truth is that the line between my professional obligations and personal life was blurring to the point of non-existence, and rediscovering the ability to detach myself from the constant demands of accessible information certainly has contributed to a far happier and content state of mind.  It’s noticeable, and I like it.

But does this make me a hypocrite?  As someone who gets giddy over announcements of smartwatches or augmented reality glasses, could I really turn my back that easily on one of the most positively influential human/technology interfaces that humanity has ever seen?  I’ve often taken up the cause of the Digital Native, those who have grown up in the rapidly advancing world of modern technology where the question ‘do you think you spend too much time on that thing?’ seems like a quaint throwback to VHS and rotary telephones.

We hear the criticisms that social media is no match to the true value of face-to-face relationships and undermines our privacy; the arguments that our attention spans are getting shorter because of our reliance on instantly accessible information and bite-sized content; the decrying of how our ability to relate properly to one another sexually is being undermined by the prevalence of pornography, with its bluntly articulated (often degrading) visual language of gender roles.  Every optimistic discussion on our digital lives is met with a terse, critical statement of how we are losing sight of what it means to be an empathic, caring society.

I’m always ready to argue that we can’t place such a narrow definition on human expression and activity but must instead try to embrace this newfound capacity to adapt as individuals in a rapidly changing social context.  That to dismiss this transitional period as detrimental to the core of our being is to over-sentimentalise our way out of recognising flaws that have always been prevalent in the human condition.  Socrates was famously critical of the written word, arguing in the fifth century BCE that it led to the kinds of detrimental impacts to memory, communication and wisdom that we are used to hearing about our modern technologies today.

At the very least, we must admit that a fundamental change has occurred and there’s not very much we can do about it but try to craft an identity out of the exponential variety of ingredients that seeks to place creative goodness at its centre.  Utilising the hyper-connectivity of our world to hopefully influence others to do the same.  I’m a utopian at heart, a shameless optimist that recognises the dangers we face but believes wholeheartedly that we can overcome them with little more than the right frame of mind.  This blog is all about a future conscience, after-all.

So why does it feel so good to be taking a smartphone holiday?  Maybe I should extend it to the many other forms of digital technology in my life and get rid of them all…simplify things to the point where a rush of calming serenity floods my being with the tranquil stillness of an ashram in Spring.  This kind of asceticism has little appeal, however, because I am a firm believer that true spirituality engages with the world.  Works with the tools and modes of being that we are gifted with, and does not seek to dismiss the new as out of place; as an unnatural abomination that can only serve to corrupt us.  Everything is an expression of natural processes, and we must learn to relate to the modern world as such and therefore bring the appropriate degree of mindfulness to the ongoing conversation on what it means to be human.

Binaural Man (image by digitalbob8, CC, Flickr)It was quite clear that I had become habitual in my smartphone use over and beyond its capacity to enhance my lifestyle, mindless in my use that allowed impulsive behaviour patterns to lead the way.  I was a digital addict, and my paraphernalia of choice was manufactured by Samsung working in tandem with those Android peddlers over at Google.  In the days and weeks after (accidentally) placing myself in rehab, I would reach for my breast pocket impulsively – surprising myself with just how frequently this would happen.  You start to notice these things far more often when there’s nothing there for your hand to grasp hold of…and therefore no valid, conscious reason for me to be doing the action in the first place.

I had lost all sense of digital discipline, a slave to my emails and their call for professional perfectionism; an addict seeking the next hit of validation with those bright red indicators of Facebook popularity; a vain narcissist who felt that if there weren’t photos then the event never happened, because life is real only when others can be shown how much fun you are having.

So my accident became a digital holiday – or, more accurately, a smartphone holiday.  I’ve got no desire at this point to take up my habit again.  It takes more than six weeks to truly break an addiction, and I need to admit to the fact that an addiction it truly was.  Which brings me back to our digital natives – a term which seemingly has a limited shelf-life as it quickly becomes the norm.  Are those who grew up with smartphones in their hands (they sell toy versions for 6 months and up) addicts?  Are you addicted to your car?  Or your dishwasher?  Those are probably trite examples, to be sure, but it’s obvious to say that we can use a tool all the time without it being detrimental to our wellbeing.  One key indicator is anxiety, and the capacity to honestly assess how our digital interfaces contribute to (or alleviate – videogames, anyone?) our levels of stress and concern over often trivial aspects of our lives is a skill that we need to collectively learn.

It’s worth taking a digital holiday, maybe even a series of holidays that isolate different items (scientific method, yay!) one at a time to better judge the impact each one is having on your daily routine and how you formulate your sense of identity.  We might not have been raised as such, but most of us are digital natives now and we need to learn to proactively explore what that means.  Developing our ability to identify and correct those areas in which these fantastic new tools of human expression and development overcome our autonomy and creative potential.

The impetus for taking a digital holiday might come accidentally or through circumstance, or it might be a decision you actively make.  In the best of worlds, it will be a bit of both – because we are infinitely capable of overlooking those aspects of our lives which are causing us the most grief.  Just as we are equally prone to forget to appreciate the miraculous and beautiful expressions of the human condition that inspire and sustain us, and that our digital world can help manifest in new ways.

Both sides of this coin are as valid for the digital landscape we have found ourselves in as they are for anything else.  Which is why it’s so important that we learn to read the language of this landscape, to take a step back and listen to the messages it is sending us about ourselves and the way we are evolving as a species in an infinitely expressive universe.

estupid ego (image by !unite, Flickr, CC)Taking a digital holiday of your own is a worthy excursion if only to see what happens, because when you return it is likely to be the brighter path that catches your eye.  The harbingers of happiness and contentment become more clear, making it easier to follow through with the obvious realisation that the most important steps any of us can take are those that follow such brightness and allow it to feed into who we are.

Digital or not, anything that can encourage a greater degree of clarity is worth pursuing.  So if the opportunity arises – for whatever reason – make sure to enjoy that holiday and see what insight awaits for you upon your return.

9 Futurist Predictions for 2013

Atomic Future (image from comicstarmoon, Flickr, CC)

Atomic Future (image from comicstarmoon, Flickr, CC)You thought I’d forget about you in January, didn’t you?  We’re certainly cutting it fine, but since the new year must bring some new predictions here are nine areas that I think will see important milestones or changes in public sentiment in 2013:

1) Digital Distribution marches ahead

Let’s begin with an obvious trend that is all but inevitable, and one that has clearly been gaining steam over the last few years. We now have the infrastructure (high speed broadband, mobile reading devices, content and distribution capacity) meeting public demand for convenience and instant access to confidently say that 2013 will be a tipping point for digital distribution.

High-street institutions such as HMV and Blockbuster slide into administration, whilst services such as Netflix, Lovefilm, Steam and Spotify offer enough content – particularly in the US market – to keep you entertained for a very long time.  Negotiation of licensing is a hurdle, and many markets need further expansion of their catalogues to be viable, but digital distribution will prove to be king this year.  This will also mean we hear a lot more about possible flaws of these business models (Spotify is often targeted, although perhaps not justifiably), and in the case of digital gaming there will be more debate about ownership and loss of service (if a service goes down do all of our purchases become worthless?).  In the end we’re not going to have much of a choice but bow down to our new digital overlords.

2) Internet Freedom backlash

If the last few years have been about government and corporate intrusion on our lives and activities, this year will see a backlash that will draw a new line in the battle for internet freedom. Lines are being drawn between corporations and government (such as news of Google, Yahoo and others requiring search warrants), whilst there is also backlash occurring at a national level surrounding jurisdictional issues (i.e. MegaUpload case in New Zealand).  We even have the French government preparing legislation that will allow a new form of taxation on the digital economy.  Battle lines are being drawn.

Outside of this legal battle is the growth in services that market themselves on a privacy platform – whether it be Kim Dotcom’s new and improved encrypted Mega, or the continued rise of VPN services, a consumer-driven approach to internet privacy and freedom will see large gains in 2013.

3) The bigger they are, the harder they fall…

There are a number of tech-focused companies that seem untouchable at this point (Apple, Google, Facebook etc.), which is almost always an indicator that they are going to over-extend or make a drastic misstep and face the consequences. Apple is rapidly losing its dominance, and only a few days ago lost its coveted crown at the top of the corporate heap, and expect that to continue and gain steam this year as a business built on consumer loyalty begins to see that zealous fan base erode.  Facebook hits its market saturation point, and fatigue will set in leading to lower levels of usage and dropping user numbers in a few geographic areas.  Whilst Google plays both sides of the privacy debate and faces greater scrutiny into its total dominance of our online lives, with an increasing cynicism towards the famous motto ‘Don’t be Evil’ brought about by high-profile privacy breaches and consumer tracking practices.

Which one will see a big hit this year?  Likely all of them…but if I had to put money on it, I’d say that Apple is set up for a big drop in influence by diluting its product line with an increasing number of iterative releases at high-end prices, whilst losing a great deal of consumer loyalty in the process as people shift over to the likes of Samsung as Android continues to destroy the competition.

4) Augmented reality begins now

Google Glass (image by zugaldia, Flickr, CC)I can’t seem to stop mentioning Google here, but Google Glass will lead the way for augmented reality as a topic that the average person will understand and begin to see the utility of.  No longer a novelty item on our smartphones or handheld consoles, attempts will be made to position this as a lifestyle enhancer as the function is included in an increasing number of applications and products.

Unlike the 3D-television fad, the fashion aspect of this new market will be properly taken into account and designs will reflect the desire for non-intrusive products that will prove successful from the outset.  Your augmented reality begins this year, and it only gets deeper from here on out!

5) Social media landscape consolidates

The last five years has seen a boom in social media companies and attempts to create the ‘next big thing’ following the sustained success of Facebook and Twitter.  Almost all of which have only seen moderate success (relatively speaking) before retreating somewhat (FourSquare seems like a big name that might fall away this year) or being bought out by a larger company (Facebook snapping up Instagram).  Expect more high-profile purchases this year of every new innovation that even begins to take hold as the larger companies with deep pockets try to maintain market share.

What we are seeing are the beginnings of the next wave of social media, which is the integrated platform.  Google is leading the way in trying to implement an all-in-one package (although Microsoft might not be too far behind them…), and Facebook is now making moves into search functionality with Graph Search. Whether or not this integrated approach will prove successful in the long run is hard to predict because we’re notoriously fickle with such platforms.  But we’ve got a number of brands with embedded user-bases that are certainly going to try their best.

Ultimately the opposite needs to occur, movement towards decentralised systems which allow far greater controls over data ownership, but the current trend will continue to be towards the mega-corporate model of conglomeration and continued focus on data mining revenue capacity.  Definitely cause for concern, but can we fight the impulsive nature and vote with our (virtual) feet?

6) Crowd-funding will be tested by failure

2011-2012 was the launch of the crowd-funding era, with the likes of Kickstarter and Indiegogo leading the charge.  Anybody with a good idea and some marketing nous could get large amounts of funding to complete projects that only a few years ago would never have been green-lighted.  All indications are that this will continue to gain steam and become even more important, bringing with it a greater degree of product innovation and experimentation.  What we haven’t seen yet, however, is a serious test of the model through failure of a massive project because of lofty visioning, misconduct, or even outright fraudulent behaviour.

We’re starting to see very large scale projects, breaking the $10 million dollar mark, which bring with them a higher chance of damaging consumer confidence should they fail.  Once these stories eventuate (and they have been already) and hit the mainstream news the general public will latch onto this negative sentiment – it’s likely only going to be a blip in consumer confidence, but I think it’s going to hit this year with something big.  Let’s see what happens…and hope that I’m wrong.

7) Ethics of technology becomes more prominent

We’ve seen the breakdown of trust and confidence in many sectors recently, from finance to politics to media institutions. The focus on defining ethical boundaries will extend into the technology and medical sphere this year, with more discussion on augmented cognition and human enhancement; synthetic food production (such as 3D meat printing); implications of data security and cases of social profiling; and more focus on the impact of technological innovation on global work standards (Foxconn being a prominent example) and resource usage.

This sense of ethical questioning will coincide with a large degree of positive optimism surrounding medical advancements. A large number of advancements will see successful implementation over the coming year, consider the wave of successful limb transplants we have seen recently, and these will be more highly reported then the ethical issues in other areas leading to an overall positive approach to technological advancement but with an ethical edge. The way it should be!

8) Videogames recognised as literature and art

Journey (image from ThatVideoGameCompany)I’m amazed that even in 2012 we still see attempts by the gliteratti to defend their hallowed halls of culture from the rise of the videogame medium. This notion that videogames are mere trivial pieces of entertainment without literary or artistic merit will be decimated in the public perception.

Games such as The Walking Dead and Journey from 2012 have proven that these interactive experiences are allowing deep levels of emotional engagement, and the industry wide praise of these games will not only mean that more mechanics-light, experience-deep games will go into production; but also that they will see larger audiences and the subsequent awareness that the medium contains infinite creative potential to explore some deeply impacting issues will become more commonplace.

9) 21st Century Space Race

Whilst government funding for NASA decreases, we’re seeing this replaced by private sector interest in space tourism and industry.  This will culminate in 2013 with a number of high profile projects.  From Virgin Galactic’s first flight, to SpaceX continuing the fill the gap that NASA leaves behind, to the Lynx/Axe Space Academy vying for our marketing attention and promoting visions of personal space flight made available to all.

These commercial ventures will be joined by accelerated moves from a number of countries that seek to enter the exclusive club of nations with developed and effective space programmes.  India is set to launch a Mars mission at the end of the year; Iran just succeeded in putting a monkey in space; Russian space budget continues to increase; whilst China’s five year plan continues, with a robotic lunar lander scheduled for later this year.  Amongst all of this, what happens if the little Wall-E like Curiosity Rover finds evidence of ‘Life on Mars’…?

There you have it, what do you think about these predictions? Which ones do you think will come true this year, which ones will take longer, and which ones are just plain wrong? Make sure to add some of your own by commenting below!

A Very Futurist Christmas: Top Products for 2012

Hatsune Miku (image by Corsica_JP, Flickr, CC)

For a futurist, the religious significance of the Christmas period and its attachment to gift-giving from lands afar is also a great time to canvas cutting edge products to see how the technological trends we like to observe are making their way into mainstream use.  Here, we can explore our subservience to the consumer impulse in a way that makes us feel like we are at least putting it to some intellectual use – which is always a good way to frame asking for the latest piece of technological kit that will be obsolete by the time it is unwrapped…it’s for science!

So, in no particular order, here are ten of my favourite futurist products for 2012:

Wonderbook: Book of Spells (PS3)

I’m constantly amazed by how many people continue to dismiss the videogame sector as irrelevant.  Given that it has overtaken both music and film in market share, this is not just a trend but a new cultural medium that demands attention.  Combine this with the rapidly approaching augmented reality era (for better or worse) and Wonderbook: Book of Spells showcases how far augmented reality in your living room has come in the last year.

Despite having a rather embarrassing and comical showing at E3 this year – in which its flaws were more apparent than any ‘wonder’ – the reviews of the finished product show that enough progress has been made since the demo to recommend it and this really is the best way to introduce kids of all ages to the coming world of augmented reality.  With the involvement of JK Rowling this becomes an obvious choice for all those Harry Potter lovers out there (judging by the book and movie takings, there’s a few of you).  Now we just need to get some comfortable glasses to enhance the experience…but that’s for next year.

Project Diva F (PS Vita)
Hatsune Miku (image by Corsica_JP, Flickr, CC)Another videogame on the list, but this one more because of its subject matter than anything else.  If you haven’t come across ‘her’ before Hatsune Miku come onto the scene in 2007 with the use of a vocal synthesis technology from Yamaha.  Just a few years later and we saw a holographic representation of the ‘pop star’ singing to a live crowd in a surrealist mix of futurist aesthetic and j-pop kitsch.

With word stirring that we’re soon to see an English version of the vocaloid emerge, the time is right to get acquainted with our new virtual pop overlords and embrace the wonder that is Hatsune Miku, and Project Diva F is a fun way to do so (with the PS Vita you can even have her perform on your living room table via the augmented reality capability).

Pebble E-Paper Watch

There’s countless technological wonders to be found on Kickstarter, but here’s a great one that is seeing the light of day after raising a staggering US$10million in just over a month and becoming the most successful crowdsourced funding campaign on the platform to date.  Combining cutting edge technology, utility and design this product showcases the future of the trusty wristwatch – an item that many had presumed would fade out in the shadow of the smartphone but has proven once again that game-changing innovation is usually just around the corner for every category of product.

Modular Robotics Cubelets

There are many who say that the future of robotics is modular, and the Modular Robotics Cubelets is an accessible look at how this might come about…and suitable for your kids to have a play with at that!  With each cube having a different function, the scope of possibility for your creations is considerable and I’m looking forward to seeing what people come up with.

What I really like about a number of the entries in this list is how they allow us all to experience our technological future regardless of age or capability, and these modular cubes are a fantastic and affordable way to bring some of the wonder of futurist thinking into your home.  Plus with a promotional video like this how can you go wrong!

Kuratas Mechwarrior

There’s no denying that this high-end product rules the roost when it comes to cool factor.  I don’t think there’s a sci-fi lover out there who’s not intrigued by the idea of driving around their very own Mechwarrior – and all for the very cheap price of 1.5million!! (plus a bit extra if you want an internal cup holder…)

The whole promotion of the product come across with a very cheesy, art project feel to it and in the end whether it’s a real consumer product or not is irrelevant as none of us will be able to afford one any time soon.  But with all the worry and paranoia around an artificial intelligence doomsday scenario or singularity among certain aspects of the futurist community it’s great to see a light-hearted approach to the concept that reminds us all that, given the opportunity, we’d drive one of these around in a heartbeat.

Sonos Play:5

The next wave of response from the music industry to effortless piracy must surely be to promote affordable streaming services right into your home.  Sonos has been around for a few years now, but there’s no better time to jump on board the wireless, streaming music bandwagon and pick up a Play:5.  The longevity of all physical entertainment media is coming to an end (unfortunately for those of us who like our retro formats…) and systems like this allow you to update your home in preparation.  If you’re looking for a higher-end wireless audio experience, minus some of the immediate streaming capacity, then direct your attention to the B&W A5 system.

Liquipel

Possibly falling more into the practical over aesthetically astounding category of futurist products for 2012, Liquipel ™ highlights how far our manufacturing processes have become that waterproofing can now be done on a molecular level at minimal cost.  Showcasing the everyday utility of nanotechnology, this is the kind of product that should become so common place in the near future as to not even require a service.  Before too long, everything sensitive to water will be treated this way as standard.

Smart TVs

Now we come to something that I’m hesitant to procure myself for obvious reasons, but it’s hard to deny that the near future of our television sets is connected and pseudo-sentient.  The combination of internet connection with audio, gesture and facial recognition brings up plenty of literal comparisons to Orwell’s 1984, and the possibility for abuse of the technology is substantial.  Having said this, I’m sure at some point I’m going to succumb to the allure of whatever new utility this technology brings…but it’s going to take a lot to cross that barrier for somebody who still puts a band-aid over their laptop’s webcam.  You know, just in case.


Sony HMZ-T1 Virtual Headset

Sony HMZ-T1 (image by Kobakou, Flickr, CC)The heyday of virtual and augmented reality has not quite arrived, but that doesn’t mean that we can’t get a very good glimpse of the future of these products right now.  Coming from Sony, the HMZ-T1 headset represents probably the best option for the everyday user that is currently available.  Finally getting over issues of image latency and weight (just…), and including necessary functionality such as head-tracking, wireless and Bluetooth we’ve finally found a worthy champion to put forwards in the new era of virtual reality.  Thankfully this time around we’re not relying on the likes of the Virtual Boy!

Parrot AR Drone 2.0

One of the many interesting aspects of the Occupy protests in 2011 was a battle for the skies above the New York city streets.  Protesters responded to the use of surveillance drones by law enforcement by procuring their very own drone surveillance technology to monitor the monitors in a beautifully recursive display of citizen engagement.  The Parrot AR Drone was the commercial product of choice, and now we’ve got a more advanced version which adds an HD camera and vastly improved functionality to allow us all to bring about the dystopian surveillance future together.

So there have it, some great futurist products for 2012 – what have I missed?  Let us all know by adding a comment below!

Can Digital Democracy Work?

Democracia directa electronica

Flag of EuropeWith digital diplomacy the focus of my last post, this time around we are looking at digital democracy – two topics that seem to operate on either side of the same coin.  Once again, I was thankful to attend another excellent session held at Europe House this time on the question: ‘Can Digital Democracy Work?’

The session was inspired by the recent European Citizens’ Initiative that emerged out of the Lisbon Treaty earlier this year.  The question is clearly one that we come to with our own personal perspective and biases, and a large part of the session was focused on various attempts at political petitioning systems set up by the likes of the House of Commons.  This then extended into the petitioning realms of grassroots campaigners such as those mobilised by 38 Degrees which, through their adoption of different strategies for change, allowed the conversation to transition into more general forms of citizen participation and activism that culminated in an excellent and insightful presentation by a representative of European Alternatives.  All of this found itself tied back down at the end into the legislative actions taking place within the EU, in particular the work of the European Economic and Social Committee (EESC) and efforts building up to the 2013 European Year of Citizens.

In trying to unpick some of the underlying themes that emerged for me, what I was immediately struck by was a polarity (or perhaps more accurately, a continuum) between attempts to integrate digital infrastructure into existing political systems on one side and the use of those same tools to circumvent traditional policy channels and create new systems on the other.  Furthermore, there seemed to be a disconnection between the two in the way the term ‘democracy’ was defined and engaged with.  Organisations such as 38 Degrees (which sits more towards the integration side, albeit activist in nature) and European Alternatives (which leans more towards the creative side through cultural innovation) highlighted how there is a need to act differently depending on whether the desired goal is integration with or re-creation of traditional political structures.

The central problem facing the former is that our current political structures often lack the dynamic flexibility to respond to groundswells of public sentiment effectively, and also have a tendency to dismiss certain sectors as politically immature. On the other hand, efforts to circumvent these organisational structures have difficulty achieving the scales necessary to see widespread implementation of their goals and can often fall foul of ideological hubris or an over-reliance on contrarian rhetoric.  On the one side we have obtuse government petitioning systems that can come across as trite ways to appease public sentiment; whilst on the other we can see high levels of interest in online (cut and paste) campaigning that finds it difficult to coalesce into significant social transformation.

Kishinev Petition 1903To be fair, there are plenty of successful examples across the whole spectrum of different activities that can be pointed to (and 38 Degrees in particular seemed keen to remind us of the breadth of their initiatives and those campaigns that saw success) – but this difficult dynamic between models for integration and models for re-creation seems to me to be leading to problems with effective uptake of citizen initiatives whether from lack of government willingness or low-levels of engagement from the general public.

The other key issue surrounding discussions on ‘digital democracy’ is that we tend to place boundaries around the phrase that ultimately limits our appreciation of the vast number of available avenues for social engagement.  Modern democracy isn’t only about influencing laws and policy through a process of voting and representation; but rather should be seen more broadly as the way in which we use our personal and social autonomy to alter the cultural landscape around us.  This includes traditional democracy of the political kind; but it also includes commercial democracy (through direct consumer action), information democracy (through freedom of the internet and media plurality), and cultural democracy (through the formation of common-yet-diverse identity and obligation) to name just a few of the more obvious.

Democracy is at its core about the ability to participate as equals, even in systems that create various levels of inequality – in fact, you could say that the primary goal of modern democracy is to find ways to navigate these inherent systemic inequalities (which I don’t believe can be truly overcome on any permanent basis…unless I’m having a particularly utopian kind of day) and provide mechanisms through which they can be subverted when a broad enough segment of society deems it necessary to do so.

The digital aspect of this conversation is immense, as it is with every other facet of our lives, but we are quickly reaching the point where the distinction between offline and online channels could become redundant and the dichotomy falls out of common use.  Many recent grassroots movements are seeing instantaneous and continuous feedback loops between online communication and offline action, allowing not only a global presence but a global perspective to emerge organically (a term I use very much on purpose).  This kind of hyper-connected cultural exchange is allowing paradigm shifts in public consciousness to occur in the space of weeks or months rather than decades, and the problem we face now is that we don’t yet have organisational forms that are impacting, accessible and socially embedded whilst at the same time capable of keeping up with such rapid change.

Thus we are able to view grassroots movements such as Occupy or 38 Degrees as ineffective dalliance or predominately made up of ‘slacktivists’ looking for a quick ego fix; whilst at the same time see our traditional political representatives and policy makers as out of touch, non-communicative and more concerned with election cycles than the betterment of society.  Both sides of this particular dichotomy really just represent different toolsets through which we hope to achieve collective understanding and purpose.  Our tendency to see them in opposition is doing us all a huge disservice at a point in history where it is becoming increasingly clear that our social structures aren’t quite keeping up with our communications capacity.  Not only is it doing a disservice, but it also overlooks the symbiotic relationship that the integrationists and the recreationists (as I’m going to refer to them) now have with one another.  The two modes of action are inextricably linked and the boundaries increasingly blurred in a frenzy of conceptual co-operation and opposition of which the resulting transformation is greater than the sum of its (necessary and influential) parts.

Democracia directa electronica What we’re seeing now is recognition that we have entered a transitional period in which the very foundations of civic participation and collective construction of identity have been set free from their historical limitations.  From this point we can begin to conceive of new forms of ‘democracy’ that seek to incorporate plurality not only of perspective but also social form and function.  This is proving difficult to neatly fit into long-held conceptions of left vs. right politics, or even more so when it comes to the manner in which political legislation is drafted, lobbied and implemented.

However, the beauty is that new forms will emerge through this continuous process of influence and cross-pollination to the point that where we end up will not be identifiable as coming from a particular group or subset of society…rather it will emerge from the ethereal web of our collective being – a kind of crowd-sourced global consciousness.  What is vitally important at this stage is to ensure that we enable as large a proportion of our global society to have access to the tools of participation so that each one of us can find a level of connectivity and influence that moves beyond our physical and economic circumstances and engages more with our social, spiritual and intellectual being.

This level of hyper-connectivity not only allows a crowd-sourced global consciousness but demands it.  You could even say that this level of global crowd-sourcing on all aspects of our public lives is what will lead to the formation of a future conscience – a result that would certainly enable us to answer positively the question ‘can digital democracy work?’  The fascinating – and somewhat terrifying – aspect will be to see whether this universal process can overcome everything standing against it, those negative and destructive aspects deeply embedded in the human condition.  Digital democracy can work, but will it?

Digital Diplomacy and the Ethics of Future Politics

United Nations Headquarters (image by United Nations Photo, Flickr, CC)

United Nations Headquarters (image by United Nations Photo, Flickr, CC)I was grateful to participate today in a conference that took place at Europe House on the topic of Digital Diplomacy – discussing how information from social media sources is gathered, verified and used; who are the main actors in the UK and abroad; and what will the future of digital diplomacy (or eDiplomacy as some like to call it) and foreign service look like over the next few decades.

Fascinating topic with a room full of diplomats, academics, journalists and social media pioneers adding to the lengthy discussion over multiple sessions (check out #londonthink for a running commentary).

I don’t want to cover too much of the event itself, and you can read an overview here (also some good case studies were used: Storyful, E-Diplomacy Hub, Twiplomacy and Electionista), but rather I wanted to put together a number of thoughts that were raised for me throughout the day.

First of all, it was very encouraging to see the level of priority with which this topic was given by all those involved (even if the focus was far too weighted towards Twitter).  The idea that we are seeing a fundamental shift in the way relationships are formed and dialogues are conducted in the public sphere was inherent in all the sessions – and a true sense of the gravity of what this means for diplomacy and political engagement with citizens was expressed with an overall positive attitude towards a more open and communicative form of political reasoning.

However, out of all of this excellent and vibrant discussion I did feel that there were a few holes worth mentioning.  Many of these issues come from an understandable desire to think positively and to highlight proactive movements towards more genuine relationships between nations and their respective constituents – a desire that means the conversation didn’t steer into certain areas that might require a more critical or conscientious lens.

It took until the Q&A segment of the final session before the word ‘privacy’ was even uttered.  This has a lot to do with the information being presumed to be in the public sphere (for example, when we tweet), and therefore welcome to be used for data mining purposes.  In most cases this is true, but the boundaries between public and private in social media are not entirely clear – and indeed the definition of privacy is shifting because of how we use these new forms of communication.

Through the Keyhole (image by PunkJr, Flickr, CC)It will be vital over the coming decade to clarify where the ethical boundary exists between nation states collating important information (‘important’ defined as that which meets their needs) and the sanctity of personal privacy along with freedom of expression and association.  When is it okay for a government to demand a private corporation such as Google, Facebook or Twitter hand over message logs or other non-public information?  There are, of course, instances where this is necessary – criminal cases in particular – but there are also already moves to breaching these digital privacy boundaries for the sake of ‘national interests’.

This is taken even further when we consider that one can be found guilty by association, and extensive intelligence efforts have been conducted on those who operate in the spheres of political activism and/or subversion of various kinds simply through the networks they might have contact with.  When does the monitoring of situations become excessive surveillance of civilian populations?  Who should be accountable if the public feel a line has been crossed, and how can action be taken?

The second ethical point that emerged is one which can make it difficult to swallow the ‘open and friendly’ approach to engagement: which is the duplicity that we regularly see evidence of from political powers in the online sphere.  It’s encouraging to hear that foreign offices are moving towards more open forms of communication – more humanised relationships with the general public – but this lacks a certain reality because it ignores the documented fact that governments around the world are simultaneously moving towards limiting the true ‘freedom’ of internet communications (SOPA, PIPA, ACTA and on…); hoarding and mining data on unprecedented levels in a legally ambiguous manner; utilising social media platforms to disseminate propaganda and collect intelligence through fake accounts; and action that subverts the sovereignty of other nations and transcends established jurisdiction.  All of this before we even include any mention of cyber-warfare conflicts that are currently active between the world’s largest and most prominent nations.

But for this post to focus solely on negative critiques would be disingenuous in its own right, because the sessions were filled with speakers genuinely concerned with how social media can be used to empower citizens and also to provide an accurate understanding of what is occurring on the ground in areas that might otherwise be inaccessible.  There was also an overall sense of experimentation, and it is encouraging to see a move away from risk-averse public relations strategies to those that have more tolerance for missteps in order to increase overall engagement.

For me possibly the most insightful comment came right at the end, where it was predicted that over the coming decades we will see a shift towards a more nuanced understanding of the nature of speech online.  Whereas today every tweet put out is considered your own personal gospel, there is a need to see these forms of communications as more ‘in-the-moment’ and reactionary.  They are immediate responses to events, not necessarily well considered and crafted contemplative pieces (some might say this should even extend to blog posts!).  As such, they should be fallible and we should see them as a far more transitory and loose form of dialogue than many of us currently allows them to be.

I like It (image by Akbar Sim, Flickr, CC)At the core of a lot of this is, I feel, a disconnection between communications technology platforms and the empathic, emotional depth of our everyday interactions.  Nobody can now doubt that a company such as Google has completely changed the world (ask the question 10 years ago and there were many who would!), but they, and others, have done so at a speed of transformation that has left behind the subtlety of human interaction often in favour of a utilitarian approach to data and software engineering.

The groundswell of public sentiment around privacy concerns; callous and widespread displays of cyber-bullying; internet and social media addiction; and even an issue as simple as how we interpret or misinterpret a few x’s or ;) in our messages all point to a gap between our technological evolution and our emotional intelligence.  This gap is already closing, and incredibly quickly considering how new this information revolution is, but it should be seen as a primary challenge for how we envisage technology platforms in the future – not only in how they are created, but in how they are ultimately used.

Diplomacy is an area seeing rapid change during this digital age simply because everything around us is facing the same challenges.  Identity formation is taking a far more conscious role in our lives; digital footprints can have both positive and negative ramifications; Information delivery and consumption is being revolutionised on an almost annual basis; and our capacity to relate to one another across the entire global community is at an unprecedented level.  To say this shift is transformative is to both state the obvious but also to not go far enough.  Those who feel the impact of this new era is obvious are also the very same people (myself included) who are under-estimating just how incredible the change is going to be.

Where we end up is impossible to predict, but what we can be sure of is that we need to be flexible and dynamic in order to respond in a manner that promotes authentic dialogue over oppressive agendas.  The scary part is that with the tools currently here and on the horizon, either of those options good or bad are entirely possible outcomes.

A lot depends on the actions of those producing products, formulating policy, mobilising collective action, and even how we personally act and engage with those around us.  Will we see commitment towards a form of honest and authentic communication that lies at the core of how we envisage and put into practice our political, corporate and social structures?  If so, the future might just be very bright indeed.

The Best of Future Conscience 2009 – 2012

Augmented Reality concept (image by Electric Images, Flickr, CC)

Rose and Calla lily (image by CresySusy, Flickr, CC)It’s quite strange to think that Future Conscience has now been running for three years. Over 150,000 words through almost 200 posts, there’s a lot here that visitors to the site just won’t come across unless it happens to be through a specific search term. To recognise three years of writing the blog I thought I would highlight some of my favourite posts, the ones that I would hope everybody who visits would read (and share!) and that highlight the tone and purpose of the blog the best.

I’ve left out some of the most recent ones, which are easily found, and also those in the most popular posts list to the right (that Top 10 Futurist Films post has seen so many views I can’t see anything toppling it). Some posts that I’d like to include here I haven’t to keep the length manageable, so there’s still some hidden gems for you to find if you hunt through the archives (or the random links that pop up on the sidebar).

If there’s only one post that you share with your friends and followers – please do make it this one. Celebrate our third anniversary and help spread the word with these: the best of Future Conscience 2009 – 2012!

Society 3.0 – Where all of us have a voice (2009)

One of the first posts on the blog.  The early posts show a far less nuanced writing style, and I think also are a bit too full of naivety. But with this one I think the groundwork was laid for what the blog was to become. Starting originally as a daily blog highlighting futurist news with an ethical slant, it was here that I started to show the social commentary and personal philosophy that would become the norm. For that reason alone it’s an important one to have on this list…even if I cringe every time I read posts from around this time.

Augmented Reality: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly (2009/10)

Augmented Reality concept (image by Electric Images, Flickr, CC)I like this series of posts because it takes a look at one particular technology – augmented reality – and approaches it from multiple angles. All technology can be used in both positive and negative ways, and you should really do a post like this for every futurist projection. It’s also a post that I neglected to conclude for quite some time, so the final part shows quite a different writing style to the earlier two.

Ethical Blogging Series (2009)

One of the early topics covered was this ongoing series of posts on ethical blogging. What does it mean, how can you do it, why would you want to? Blogging is one of those mediums where people don’t really consider much how to respect intellectual property, their readership and the ethics of monetisation, and the role that a good ethical foundation can play not only in the topics that you write about but in the practical structure of the blog and how it’s put together.

Tweetivism: Social Justice or Internet Lynch Mob? (2009)

Continuing with the themes of social commentary and longer posts, I’m quite proud of this post because it highlights an issue which has become increasingly important in the years following. It’s nice to feel somewhat ahead of the curve, and it wasn’t until a year or so later that editorials started cropping up regularly in the mainstream media on this very topic.  By the way – how ugly are Google Ads? Bleh…glad I stopped using those.

[Review] Radio Free Albemuth: Into the Mind of Philip K Dick (2010)

Radio Free Albemuth: Interview with Writer/Director John Alan Simon (2012)

Philip K DickIf I had to choose a favourite post, most of the time I’m going to choose my initial review of Radio Free Albemuth. Primarily because of the absolutely surreal experience that I had on the day (given in full detail in the post), but also because it opened up a dialogue with the film’s director and producer which a year later meant that I was able to meet them in person to discuss the movie and also score an interview for the blog. Being such a huge fan of Philip K Dick, I felt priviliged and honoured to be part of the roll-out of this film in whatever small way. Here’s hoping it gets a wider release very soon!

The Rabbi & The Golem: A Parable of Synthetic Life (2010)

Musings Along the Way: 40 Spiritual Aphorisms (2010)

Why We Should Not Worship God (2011)

The parable is the only piece of fiction on the blog, I really enjoyed writing it and I do feel it’s important for people to know that the blog comes from a place of personal contemplation and spiritual growth. The aphorisms were my attempt at conveying information in a symbolic manner, and the style is one that is being seen less and less these days. They give a direct view into the core of my psyche at the time of writing, which makes them the most personal post by far and is also why I present them without comment.  The final piece of this spiritual trilogy is a misunderstood one, and one of those that were I to edit now I would change quite a bit to make a few things more clear, but for the record is a deeply theistic piece.  These three represent the cornerstone of the blog and its ethos.

The Shifting Paradigms of Alternate Reality Gaming (2010)

Another one of my favourite posts, mainly because of the paranoid noir-like world that it portrays. Alternate reality gaming is something that seemed poised to take off in a big way, and although to a certain extent it has simmered down recently I still think it’s an entertainment medium that has a lot to offer in merging gaming, social activity and the ‘real’ world into a wonderful cocktail that enables personal enjoyment, inspiration and growth. But there were aspects of the scene that were showing some very worrying tendencies, and the ability for this medium to be abused for violent or manipulative ends should not be overlooked.

10 Sectors to Watch for the Next Decade (2009)

7 Random Predictions for the Future (2010)

5 Predictions for the Next 5 Years (2012)

Timeline: The Future of Videogames (2012)

Futurists are supposed to make predictions, it’s part of the genre and it forces us to put our necks on the line.  Here are some prediction posts I’ve made over the last three years. In many ways I think I’m not a terribly imaginative futurist, but these attempts at least show that I’m willing to try! At the very least, if you make enough predictions then some of them are going to be right…

Your Life: The Videogame (2011)

Not everything on Future Conscience has to be so serious and sombre, and so I’m picking this post to highlight one of the more light-hearted explorations of future technology. The gamification of life is a prediction that I stand by strongly, and is also one that I’m quite looking forward to. We’ve only just begun to develop ways to incorporate our technology, our sense of entertainment and our daily lives; and it’s a sector that is going to see rapid growth over the next decade with some completely unexpected results.

Millionize Your Lashes: The Impossible Dream of Cosmetics (2011)

Possibly the post that comes closest to being a pure rant, but this is another one that I’m very pleased with and also feel a certain degree of pride over. The disingenuous world of advertising is an issue that really upsets my sense of autonomy, as it is founded on a notion of manipulation, manufacture of desire and an underlying message that chips away at self-confidence. I’m proud of this post not because of its content, per se, but because it comes up so highly when searching for the product mentioned.

It still makes me chuckle to think that at some point there was likely a marketing meeting at one of the world’s largest cosmetics companies (L’Oreal) with people getting pissed off that this post was ranking so highly on Google searches for their latest product. Don’t fuck with the blogosphere, you agents of the corporatocracy. We bite.

Hack the Planet! Lulzsec, Anonymous and the Call for Accountability (2011)

Anonymous There’s something about the world of hackers, cyberpunks and online activists that is so intriguing that it has always been a topic of great interest to me. Of course the reality rarely matches the myth, but I thought it was important to try and clear up some misconceptions that were going around in the press at the time whilst also highlighting why people of this persuasion – whether you agree with their methods or not – have a very important role to play in the 21st century.

This post doesn’t even cover half the story, as time progressed we learned of hidden arrests and FBI sting operations that only served to make this techno-thriller that much more compelling.

London/UK Riots: Are We Limiting Our Understanding of Violence? (2011)

2011 was when I really began to hit my writing stride, and my response to the London riots written on the day they had concluded is one of my favourite pieces of work. I was shocked to see how quickly many of my previously liberal friends and peers were to call for martial law, swift punishment and harsh sentencing – and so this was my attempt to highlight why we must try and see beyond the surface and rise above our primal response mechanisms. We need to learn how to read the language of our cities and societies more effectively, particularly when they are screaming at us.

Beyond Cute Robots: Towards a New Concept of Sentience (2011)

iCub - Future ConsciencePart of what I love about writing the blog is that it encourages me to get out there and go to exhibitions or other events that are relevant and interesting.  This post sees me playing around with ideas surrounding the anthropomorphic nature of our view of sentience, and I enjoy it because of its philosophical depth. Like many of the posts on the site, it’s basically a stream-of-consciousness piece…which means that it trades off a certain degree of structure and academic riguour in an attempt to access those areas of our minds that rest just on the edge of what we can grasp hold of.

We are the 99%! You are the Revolution! (2011)

The Social Psychology of Occupy (2012)

These two posts bookend my experiences with the Occupy London movement, and in many ways show a transition from pure idealism to the pragmatics of social transformation. The first is a call to action, the second a sincere attempt to examine why the movement all but fell apart.  Broad-based resistance to dominant and damaging social (and, particularly, commercial and economic) paradigms is important, and I hope to see it continue in other forms that can learn from the drawbacks of the Occupy movement and how it operated in practice.  As an aside: if there’s one thing that I will take away from experiences with Occupy, it’s that there is no such thing as a large-scale horizontal movement. No matter how many times you say otherwise.  At least, not yet…

So there you have it…some of the best posts that this blog has to offer. I hope you’ve enjoyed seeing how the blog has developed over the years (some of my earlier writing is so cringe!) and I look forward to writing more for you as we continue to look towards the future and ask ourselves the question: What do we want to be?